Up, Down, Up, Down Interest Rate- So. Cal.

 

Here are some key interest rate change indicators for your information. 

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Things that may raise interest rates.

 

Consumer Price Index Rises

Indicates rising inflation.

 

Durable Goods Orders Rise

Pickup in business activity usually leads to increased credit demand.

 

Housing Starts Rise

Shows growth in economy and increased credit demand. Fed tightens money supply by

raising rates.

 

Leading Indicators Up

Signals strength in the economy leading to greater credit demand.

 

Personal Income Rises

The higher one’s income, the more consumed, prompting higher prices of debt securities.

 

Producer Price Index Rises

Indicates rising inflation. Demand for, and prices of, goods rises.

 

Retail Sales Fall

Indicates stronger economic growth. Fed may tighten money supply.

 

What will lower interest rates?

hat May Raise Interest Rates

Gross National Product Falls

Reflect a slowing national economy. Fed loosens money supply by lowering rates.

 

Industrial Production Falls

Indicates slowing economic growth. Fed loosens money supply by lowering rates.

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Inventories Up

Indicates a slowing economy since sales are not keeping up with production.

 

Oil Prices Fall

Reduces upward pressure on interest rates, thereby enhancing prices of debt securities.

 

Precious Metal Prices Fall

Reflects decreased inflation. Demand for inflation hedges falls.

 

Unemployment Rises

Indicates stronger economic growth. Fed may tighten money supply.

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